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🎯 Berserker Film Profit Predictor

Know Before You Shoot. Profit Like a Savage.

What It Is:
The Berserker Film Profit Predictor is a real-world financial tool for indie filmmakers, producers, and investors who are done flying blind. This is not a hype machine — it’s a brutally honest calculator that helps you estimate your film’s break-even point, streaming platform revenue, and projected profit margin based on actual industry variables.

How it Works is explained below. 

FIRE

Berserker Film Profit Predictor

Will your film make money or bleed out?

FORM

Enter Your Film Details

Hold Ctrl/Cmd to select multiple
CHART

Your Forecast

$0
0%
High Risk High Benefit
$0
$0

Cast Return Analysis

0/10
High Risk High Benefit
Cast Cost Ratio
0%
Cast ROI Factor
0x
Cost per Revenue %
0%
Star Power Impact
0x

Budget Breakdown

Production Budget $0
Cast Cost $0
Marketing $0
Distribution Fees $0
AI Savings -$0
Total Cost $0

How We Calculated This

Your Film's Financial Breakdown:

  • Total Budget: $0
  • Genre Multiplier: 0x
  • Distribution Fees: $0
  • Platform Revenue Potential: $0

ROI Formula:

  • ROI = (Estimated Revenue - Total Cost) / Total Cost × 100%
  • Break-Even = Total Cost × (1 + Distribution Fee %)
  • Cast ROI Factor = Star Power × (1 - Cast Cost Ratio + Genre Multiplier)

 🔍 How It Works:

We built this tool using data from real indie productions (including the $1.3M feature Nation’s Fire), financial reports from distributors, delivery cost breakdowns, and current platform pay-per-view and subscription-based royalty rates.

It factors in:

  • Your total production and post-production costs

  • AI-based savings you unlock using tools found inside Savage AI for Filmmakers

  • Whether you're going with a distributor or self-distribution

  • Current streaming platform CPMs (cost per thousand views) and licensing trends

  • Realistic viewer projections based on genre, cast, and marketing budget 

The distribution fees are determined based on the distribution model you select (Traditional, Self-Distribution, or Hybrid) and your total budget. Here's exactly how it works:

  1. First, each distribution model has a specific fee percentage:
    • Traditional: 35% fee (highest fees but widest reach)
    • Self-Distribution: 15% fee (lowest fees but requires more work)
    • Hybrid: 25% fee (middle ground approach)
  2. The calculator then applies this percentage to your total budget (production + cast + marketing):
    const distributionFeePercentage = distributionFeePercentages[distributionModel]; const distributionFees = totalBudget * distributionFeePercentage;
  3. For example, with a $500,000 production budget, $200,000 cast cost, and $100,000 marketing budget:
    • Total budget = $800,000
    • If using Traditional distribution (35%): Distribution fees = $280,000
    • If using Self-Distribution (15%): Distribution fees = $120,000
    • If using Hybrid (25%): Distribution fees = $200,000
These fees represent what distributors typically charge for their services - including marketing, placement, logistics, and their profit margin. The distribution model you choose significantly impacts your break-even point and overall profitability.
Try changing the distribution model radio buttons to see how it affects your total costs and ROI in real-time!
 

💸 Break-Even Revenue Explained:

This is the minimum revenue your film must generate to recoup every dollar spent — including production, post, marketing, legal, and deliverables.
It accounts for:

  • Hidden distribution fees

  • Recoupable expenses (often buried in contracts)

  • Deliverables costs (technical + legal)

  • Platform cuts (Apple, Amazon, etc.)

Knowing your break-even BEFORE you make your film puts you in control. It’s your baseline for smart investor conversations, risk management, and survival.

📺 Streaming Revenue Projections:

The calculator gives you estimated earnings based on:

  • Amazon Prime Video Direct: Revenue per hour streamed

  • Tubi, Roku, and ad-based platforms: CPM (typically $2–$15 per 1,000 ad views)

  • TVOD (Transactional Video on Demand) like iTunes and Google Play: Percentage split after platform cuts

  • Self-distribution sites: 70–90% returns depending on how you host and collect payments

🔧 How Accurate Is It?

👉 As accurate as your inputs.
We don’t sugarcoat. This isn’t a fantasy projection tool based on Hollywood dreams — it’s a grounded model that reflects current market conditions, including AI-driven cost savings. Numbers will vary based on your cast, genre, budget, and distribution strategy.

We also add a “Berserker Buffer”: a safety net that pads predictions by factoring in typical reporting delays, hidden distributor deductions, and real-world marketing gaps — so you’re never caught off guard.

🧠 Why This Tool Exists:

Because too many filmmakers walk into deals blind.
Because most never get paid back.
Because we believe indie filmmaking should be a business, not a lottery.

With the Berserker Film Profit Predictor, you don’t just make a film —
you make a plan to profit.

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